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The role of the Arctic and Antarctic and their impact on global climate change: Further findings since the release of IPCC AR4, 2007

【标题】The role of the Arctic and Antarctic and their impact on global climate change: Further findings since the release of IPCC AR4, 2007

【Title】The role of the Arctic and Antarctic and their impact on global climate change: Further findings since the release of IPCC AR4, 2007

【作者】 CHEN Liqi

【Author】 CHEN Liqi

【期刊】极地研究

【Journal】

【期刊年份】

【卷】2013

【期】

【关键词】 IPCC AR4; climate change; sea ice; ozone hole; CO2; Arctic and Antarctic

【Keywords】 IPCC AR4; climate change; sea ice; ozone hole; CO2; Arctic and Antarctic

【摘要】 Changes in the climate of the Arctic and of the Antarctic have been of great concern to the international scientific and social communities since the release in 2007 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4). Since then, many new findings have been reported from observations and research carried out in the Arctic and Antarctic during the fourth International Polar Year (IPY). There is evidence that global warming is inducing rapid changes in the Arctic and Antarctic, in both a quantitative and qualitative sense, and that these regional changes could be used as indicators of global climate change. Declining Arctic sea ice could affect winter snowfall across much of the Northern Hemisphere by bringing harsher winters. Projections suggest that summertime Arctic sea ice will disappear by 2037. By the 2070s, the Antarctic ozone hole will recover to the level of the early 1980s, following the ban on the production of Freon earlier this century. With the loss of the shielding effect of the ozone hole, Antarctic surface temperatures will increase, ice sheets in East Antarctica will begin to melt, and the Antarctic sea ice will retreat. Therefore, sea level rise will become an increasingly serious issue this century. As sea surface temperature rises, the Southern Ocean will become less effective as a sink for atmospheric CO2 and the increase of surface CO2 will be faster than that in the atmosphere. Increased surface CO2 would lead to ocean acidification and affect ecological systems and food chains.

【Abstract】 Changes in the climate of the Arctic and of the Antarctic have been of great concern to the international scientific and social communities since the release in 2007 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4). Since then, many new findings have been reported from observations and research carried out in the Arctic and Antarctic during the fourth International Polar Year (IPY). There is evidence that global warming is inducing rapid changes in the Arctic and Antarctic, in both a quantitative and qualitative sense, and that these regional changes could be used as indicators of global climate change. Declining Arctic sea ice could affect winter snowfall across much of the Northern Hemisphere by bringing harsher winters. Projections suggest that summertime Arctic sea ice will disappear by 2037. By the 2070s, the Antarctic ozone hole will recover to the level of the early 1980s, following the ban on the production of Freon earlier this century. With the loss of the shielding effect of the ozone hole, Antarctic surface temperatures will increase, ice sheets in East Antarctica will begin to melt, and the Antarctic sea ice will retreat. Therefore, sea level rise will become an increasingly serious issue this century. As sea surface temperature rises, the Southern Ocean will become less effective as a sink for atmospheric CO2 and the increase of surface CO2 will be faster than that in the atmosphere. Increased surface CO2 would lead to ocean acidification and affect ecological systems and food chains.

【基金/项目】

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